默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres v Arizona Diamondbacks

开赛时间: 2026-03-23 01:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres (主队)

预测 59.81%1.67公平赔率
EV -0.121%
优势 -0.072%
Kelly -0.180%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
57.40%59.90%59.67%62.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.601.601.6765.36%62.50%62.50%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)

预测 40.19%2.49公平赔率
EV +3.29%
优势 +1.28%
Kelly +2.10%
增长率 +0.069%

假设最高赔率为 2.57

博彩公司预测分布
37.68%40.10%40.33%42.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.392.352.5745.45%41.88%42.55%38.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:San Diego Padres (主队):59.81%;Arizona Diamondbacks (客队):40.19%。 对于“Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.49。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.57,对应+3.29%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +3.29%E +1.28%K +2.10%G +0.069%3.0%2026-03-23 00:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +3.29%E +1.28%K +2.10%G +0.069%3.0%2026-03-23 00:54
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +2.49%E +0.976%K +1.61%G +0.040%3.3%2026-03-23 00:54
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -7.90%E -5.13%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV +2.09%E +0.822%K +1.36%G +0.028%4.3%2026-03-23 00:02
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV +1.69%E +0.666%K +1.10%G +0.019%4.9%2026-03-23 01:00
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.480%E +0.192%K +0.320%G +0.002%4.1%2026-03-23 00:59
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.31%E -2.69%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.54%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 22:40
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.91%E -3.09%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.54%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 01:04
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.95%E -2.54%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 00:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.121%E -0.072%K -0.180%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 20:09
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.32%E -0.798%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.36%E -3.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 23:04
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.32%E -0.798%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.36%E -3.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.51%E -1.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.36%E -3.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 20:09
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -0.121%E -0.072%K -0.180%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 19:50
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -4.91%E -3.09%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 22:15
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.58%E -5.26%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 00:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-03-23 00:55
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%3.3%2026-03-23 00:29