语言:简体中文
Philadelphia Phillies v Tampa Bay Rays
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Philadelphia Phillies (主队)
预测 62.81%1.59公平赔率
EV +1.75%
优势 +1.08%
Kelly +2.83%
增长率 +0.050%
假设最高赔率为 1.62
博彩公司预测分布
59.40%62.42%62.82%63.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.521.521.6266.67%65.59%65.79%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
Tampa Bay Rays (客队)
预测 37.19%2.69公平赔率
EV -1.45%
优势 -0.547%
Kelly -0.878%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.65
博彩公司预测分布
36.14%37.58%37.18%40.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.372.562.602.6542.19%39.08%38.46%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Philadelphia Phillies (主队)：62.81%；Tampa Bay Rays (客队)：37.19%。 对于“Philadelphia Phillies (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.59。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.62，对应+1.75%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV +1.75%E +1.08%K +2.83%G +0.050% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -11.86%E -5.00%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-23 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.27%E -2.12%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 15:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.27%E -2.12%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 15:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.27%E -2.12%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.31%E -1.27%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 15:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -3.27%E -2.12%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -6.28%E -2.49%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 15:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.31%E -1.27%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-23 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.53%E -2.98%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.31%E -1.27%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 15:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.53%E -2.98%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -4.80%E -1.87%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 15:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.16%E -3.41%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -2.56%E -0.979%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.16%E -3.41%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.31%E -1.27%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 15:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.16%E -3.41%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.31%E -1.27%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 15:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.16%E -3.41%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.89%E -3.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 15:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.45%E -0.547%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 15:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 15:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.78%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.03%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 15:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 16:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 15:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 16:00 |