The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

New York Yankees v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 58.80%1.70fair odd
EV +1.14%
Edge +0.660%
Kelly +1.58%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.90%58.54%59.19%60.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.621.7264.94%61.27%61.73%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 41.20%2.43fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.59%41.46%40.81%44.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.292.302.3645.87%43.69%43.48%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 58.80%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 41.20%. For New York Yankees (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV +1.14%E +0.660%K +1.58%G +0.018%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -10.18%E -4.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV +1.14%E +0.660%K +1.58%G +0.018%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -10.18%E -4.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 16:39
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -0.628%E -0.372%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.71%E -3.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 16:35
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -1.22%E -0.724%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -6.06%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -1.22%E -0.724%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -7.71%E -3.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 17:00
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -1.80%E -1.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -6.89%E -3.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 16:58
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.80%E -1.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.36%E -4.25%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.89%E -3.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 15:49
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 14:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 13:33
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 13:49
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 13:34
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.77%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 13:33
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.51%E -4.09%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 16:09
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.51%E -4.09%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 15:34
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -9.45%E -6.14%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 15:35
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -9.45%E -6.14%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 15:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-03-18 17:00
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-03-18 17:00
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%4.3%2026-03-18 17:00