The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 58.43%1.71fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.97%58.23%61.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.651.6764.94%61.31%60.61%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 41.57%2.41fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +0.917%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.50%41.03%41.77%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.302.4645.45%43.29%43.48%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 58.43%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 41.57%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -10.01%E -6.50%K -18.55%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV +2.26%E +0.917%K +1.55%G +0.035%5.6%2026-03-20 19:25
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.85%E -5.67%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +1.01%E +0.416%K +0.706%G +0.007%5.3%2026-03-20 20:20
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.85%E -5.67%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +1.01%E +0.416%K +0.706%G +0.007%5.3%2026-03-20 20:19
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.32%E -0.985%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 22:25
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.00%E -1.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.56%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.42%E -1.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 19:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.42%E -1.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 19:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.42%E -1.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 19:17
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.59%E -2.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 19:14
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.59%E -2.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 19:14
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.59%E -2.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 21:30
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.26%E -5.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 21:50
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -3.00%E -1.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -5.64%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:28
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.59%E -2.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.06%E -2.68%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.59%E -2.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:15
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.42%E -1.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 19:15
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 21:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.32%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.68%0.3%2026-03-20 22:30
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-03-20 22:30
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-03-20 22:30