The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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New York Mets v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 17:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 53.93%1.85fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.710%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%53.94%54.09%55.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.771.771.8358.48%56.43%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 46.07%2.17fair odd
EV -0.959%
Edge -0.446%
Kelly -0.834%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.79%46.06%45.91%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.062.052.1552.36%48.62%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 53.93%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 46.07%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -0.959%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.30%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.30%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 17:05
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.30%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 17:05
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.30%E -0.710%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.02%E -6.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 17:05
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.92%E -1.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 17:05
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.92%E -1.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.46%E -1.93%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:50
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.46%E -1.93%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.54%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 14:44
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.54%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 14:49
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.61%E -3.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -0.959%E -0.446%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.61%E -3.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:49
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.15%E -3.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.42%E -0.664%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.15%E -3.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.15%E -3.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.34%E -1.10%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 14:50
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 16:15
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%0.9%2026-03-20 16:55
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-20 16:35
Novig◎1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%4.3%2026-03-20 16:35