The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Minnesota Twins v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 53.48%1.87fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.84%53.34%53.46%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.791.791.8357.47%55.90%56.02%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 46.52%2.15fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.66%46.54%48.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.032.052.1050.76%49.24%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 53.48%; New York Yankees (Visit): 46.52%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -2.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.13%E -1.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -8.36%E -4.24%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 17:49
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.13%E -1.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -8.36%E -4.24%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.20%E -1.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 17:59
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.73%E -2.07%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.64%E -2.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 17:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.73%E -2.07%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.64%E -2.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.34%E -3.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 17:54
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.34%E -3.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 17:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.34%E -3.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.64%E -2.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 17:49
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.34%E -3.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 17:30
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.94%E -3.99%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.