The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Minnesota Twins v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 42.20%2.37fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.536%
Kelly +0.919%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%42.19%42.25%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.272.4045.45%43.89%44.05%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 57.80%1.73fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.81%57.75%59.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.651.641.6961.73%60.76%60.98%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 42.20%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 57.80%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.29%E +0.536%K +0.919%G +0.012%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-24 16:54
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -1.25%E -0.532%K -0.930%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-24 16:59
Bovada🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.67%E -0.716%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.79%E -3.55%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 16:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.09%E -0.901%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 16:54
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.63%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.79%E -3.55%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 16:24
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.79%E -3.55%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 16:24
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.20%E -1.85%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-24 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.20%E -1.85%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-24 16:55
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 16:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-24 16:48
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 16:50
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.47%E -2.44%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 16:14
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 16:49
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 16:49
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-03-24 17:00
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-03-24 17:00
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-03-24 16:50