The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Minnesota Twins v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 54.07%1.85fair odd
EV -0.511%
Edge -0.278%
Kelly -0.608%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.83%53.98%54.09%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.761.771.8459.17%56.71%56.50%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 45.93%2.18fair odd
EV +3.34%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +2.67%
Growth +0.089%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%46.02%45.91%48.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.052.2551.28%48.28%48.78%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 54.07%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 45.93%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -8.62%E -5.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +3.34%E +1.49%K +2.67%G +0.089%3.6%2026-03-22 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.25%E -0.582%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.71%E -0.799%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 15:10
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 16:44
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 12:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.47%E -2.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.38%E -2.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.67%E -1.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.67%E -1.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.75%E -2.11%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 16:54
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.75%E -2.11%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 16:54
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 12:45
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:09
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.62%E -5.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 16:54
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.59%E -0.875%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.22%E -3.58%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -0.511%E -0.278%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -9.06%E -4.58%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 16:55
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.67%E -1.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.44%E -5.35%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-03-22 17:00
ProphetX◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%2.8%2026-03-22 17:00
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%4.3%2026-03-22 17:00