Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 01:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 57.40%1.74fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.44%57.40%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.661.671.7061.73%60.12%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 42.60%2.35fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.688%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.52%42.56%42.60%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.242.3146.51%44.57%44.64%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 57.40%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 42.60%. For Texas Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.31, with an expected value of -1.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.42%E -1.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.00%E -2.24%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.42%E -1.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.00%E -2.24%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 22:39
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.42%E -2.44%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 20:04
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 20:04
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.57%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:14
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.00%E -2.24%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.57%E -2.13%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.00%E -2.24%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 20:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.01%E -0.876%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 20:14
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.01%E -0.876%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 21:54
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 00:59
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.15%E -2.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 21:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.72%E -2.84%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.57%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.29%E -3.21%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:04
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -5.87%E -3.58%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -1.59%E -0.688%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 01:05
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.44%E -3.95%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 20:10
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 00:14
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-03-20 01:05
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.3%2026-03-20 01:05