The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Milwaukee Brewers v Cincinnati Reds

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 23:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 54.77%1.83fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.785%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%54.77%54.85%56.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.751.741.8059.17%57.30%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visit)

Prediction 45.23%2.21fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.81%45.23%45.15%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.102.102.1851.28%47.73%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 54.77%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 45.23%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.41%E -0.785%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.41%E -0.785%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 22:25
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.41%E -0.785%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.80%E -6.05%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 22:25
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.06%E -1.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 22:30
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.06%E -1.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 22:24
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.06%E -1.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 22:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.06%E -1.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.83%E -3.31%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 22:29
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.15%E -2.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.21%E -1.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-23 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.70%E -2.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 19:49
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.70%E -2.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.21%E -1.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.70%E -2.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 18:05
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -6.34%E -3.71%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.11%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 19:45
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.34%E -3.71%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 19:44
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.34%E -3.71%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.89%E -4.05%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.40%E -0.642%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 22:35
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.89%E -4.05%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.40%E -0.642%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 22:35
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.44%E -4.40%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 22:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-23 23:20
Novig◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-03-23 23:15
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%1.8%2026-03-23 22:55