The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Dodgers v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 56.61%1.77fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.864%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.20%56.68%56.41%58.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.671.7461.73%59.66%59.70%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 43.39%2.30fair odd
EV +0.671%
Edge +0.289%
Kelly +0.508%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.69%43.32%43.59%44.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.212.202.3248.31%45.32%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 56.61%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 43.39%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.671%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -6.03%E -3.63%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV +0.671%E +0.289%K +0.508%G +0.003%3.3%2026-03-18 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -6.03%E -3.63%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV +0.671%E +0.289%K +0.508%G +0.003%3.3%2026-03-18 20:00
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.47%E -3.27%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.197%E -0.086%K -0.152%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.47%E -3.27%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.197%E -0.086%K -0.152%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.73%E -4.74%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.06%E -0.467%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 20:00
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.30%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.37%E -1.05%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 20:00
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.67%E -1.65%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 19:58
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.67%E -1.65%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 19:59
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.77%E -2.22%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 19:59
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.47%E -3.27%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 20:00
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.30%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -4.97%E -2.27%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 19:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.40%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 19:59
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.50%E -0.864%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.20%E -1.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 20:00
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.47%E -3.27%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -4.90%E -2.92%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -10.18%E -4.92%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 19:45
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -4.90%E -2.92%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -10.18%E -4.92%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-03-18 20:00
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-03-18 20:00
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-03-18 19:55