The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Los Angeles Dodgers v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 59.71%1.67fair odd
EV -0.874%
Edge -0.527%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.44%59.61%59.85%61.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.601.591.6664.10%62.67%62.89%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 40.29%2.48fair odd
EV +0.312%
Edge +0.125%
Kelly +0.209%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.67%40.39%40.15%42.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.372.392.4944.64%42.27%41.84%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 59.71%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 40.29%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.312%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV +0.312%E +0.125%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.9%2026-03-16 20:00
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -6.85%E -4.39%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -0.494%E -0.200%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-16 19:38
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.30%E -0.530%K -0.896%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-16 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.30%E -0.530%K -0.896%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-16 19:30
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.30%E -0.530%K -0.896%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-16 19:30
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.30%E -0.530%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 19:25
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.11%E -0.866%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.51%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 19:09
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 19:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.12%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 17:04
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 17:05
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 19:05
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 18:55
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -0.874%E -0.527%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -9.76%E -4.36%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-03-16 20:00
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-03-16 19:45
Novig◎1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%4.3%2026-03-16 19:55