The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Dodgers v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 60.62%1.65fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -3.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.34%60.82%60.40%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.571.561.6166.23%63.82%63.90%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 39.38%2.54fair odd
EV +0.423%
Edge +0.166%
Kelly +0.273%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.18%39.60%40.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.452.432.5542.55%40.83%41.15%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 60.62%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 39.38%. For Los Angeles Angels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.423%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.423%E +0.166%K +0.273%G +0.001%4.6%2026-03-01 18:09
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.423%E +0.166%K +0.273%G +0.001%4.6%2026-03-01 18:09
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.44%E -3.48%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.55%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 19:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.44%E -3.48%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.55%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.52%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-01 19:04
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.01%E -1.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -5.09%E -2.11%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 19:29
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.83%E -3.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.48%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:09
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.47%E -5.61%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.48%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.62%E -2.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.27%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 18:05
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 19:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-01 19:54
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%2.3%2026-03-01 19:39