The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Dodgers v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 60.37%1.66fair odd
EV +5.04%
Edge +2.90%
Kelly +6.82%
Growth +0.344%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.92%59.57%60.62%61.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.591.7464.10%61.92%62.89%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 39.63%2.52fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.692%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.00%40.43%39.38%45.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.352.402.4847.17%42.61%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 60.37%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 39.63%. For Los Angeles Dodgers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +5.04%E +2.90%K +6.82%G +0.344%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -15.98%E -7.54%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 19:50
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +5.04%E +2.90%K +6.82%G +0.344%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -15.98%E -7.54%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 19:50
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.20%E -1.36%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.47%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.72%E -0.692%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-24 19:50
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.01%E -2.52%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 19:45
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -4.01%E -2.52%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -10.83%E -4.81%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.22%E -3.32%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.91%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 16:24
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.22%E -3.32%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.91%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 16:24
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.32%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 16:25
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.