The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Los Angeles Dodgers v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 57.16%1.75fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.661%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%56.98%57.12%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.671.7762.11%59.75%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 42.84%2.33fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.02%42.88%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.202.3047.62%44.96%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 57.16%; Athletics (Visit): 42.84%. For Los Angeles Dodgers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +1.17%E +0.661%K +1.52%G +0.018%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 17:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 17:29
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 17:25
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:24
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.83%E -1.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:24
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.40%E -2.01%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 17:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.97%E -2.37%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.32%E -2.41%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.46%E -0.636%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 16:14
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -5.12%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -1.89%E -0.826%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 17:29
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.46%E -0.636%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 17:24
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 17:39
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.61%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 16:14
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.40%E -4.57%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.636%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:15
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.98%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:14
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.98%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-03-21 17:49
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-21 17:19
Novig◎1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%4.8%2026-03-21 17:54