The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Dodgers v Arizona Diamondbacks

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 64.20%1.56fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -7.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.28%64.17%64.29%65.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.491.491.5068.97%67.11%67.11%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 35.80%2.79fair odd
EV -0.827%
Edge -0.299%
Kelly -0.468%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.98%35.83%35.71%36.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.672.672.7739.22%37.50%37.38%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 64.20%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 35.80%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.77, with an expected value of -0.827%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.33%E -1.23%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.05%E -1.51%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.12%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.84%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 20:00
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.84%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.20%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 08:09
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 01:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.35%E -2.92%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -0.827%E -0.299%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-10 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.35%E -2.92%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -0.827%E -0.299%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-10 16:35
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.35%E -2.92%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.54%E -0.561%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-10 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.35%E -2.92%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.33%E -1.23%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 00:49
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.35%E -2.92%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.33%E -1.23%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 16:08
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.35%E -2.92%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.33%E -1.23%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 16:35
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -4.35%E -2.92%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -4.41%E -1.65%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:34
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -4.05%E -1.51%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 04:03
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 14:55
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.70%E -3.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 19:10
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-03-10 20:00
ProphetX◎1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%3.7%2026-03-10 20:00
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-03-10 19:35