The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Angels v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 20:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV +0.500%
Edge +0.249%
Kelly +0.495%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.66%49.67%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.911.912.0153.48%52.23%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.33%50.00%52.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.891.901.9554.64%53.03%52.49%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 50.00%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 50.00%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.500%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV +0.500%E +0.249%K +0.495%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 20:05
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -0.500%E -0.251%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -7.00%E -3.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:55
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 15:40
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:24
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:23
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:18
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:30
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 17:40
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:10
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 16:20
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 16:25
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%1.6%2026-03-14 20:00
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-03-14 20:00
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%4.4%2026-03-14 20:05