Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 01:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 37.45%2.67fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.413%
Kelly +0.656%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.48%37.50%37.36%38.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.562.7041.67%39.29%38.99%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 62.55%1.60fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -6.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.50%62.50%62.64%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.511.521.5469.93%66.03%65.57%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 37.45%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 62.55%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.11%E +0.413%K +0.656%G +0.007%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.17%E -4.12%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 01:06
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.51%E -0.573%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.17%E -4.12%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 01:06
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.26%E -0.864%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.67%E -2.39%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 01:07
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.26%E -0.864%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.67%E -2.39%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 01:07
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.30%E -2.81%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-23 01:06
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.92%E -3.24%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 01:09
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -10.55%E -7.38%K -24.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-23 01:09
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.38%E -1.31%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.30%E -2.81%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 01:07
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.81%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 01:10
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.30%E -2.81%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 01:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.55%E -3.68%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 01:09
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -7.12%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -4.30%E -2.81%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 01:10
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -7.87%E -3.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -3.67%E -2.39%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 01:07
MyBookie.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.17%E -4.12%K -12.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 01:08
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.17%E -4.12%K -12.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 01:07
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.17%E -4.12%K -12.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-23 01:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-03-23 01:10
ProphetX2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%3.0%2026-03-23 01:09
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%4.5%2026-03-23 01:06