The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Angels v Kansas City Royals

Kickoff: 2026-03-02 20:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 57.83%1.73fair odd
EV -0.526%
Edge -0.306%
Kelly -0.731%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%57.94%58.01%60.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.641.651.7264.94%60.94%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 42.17%2.37fair odd
EV -0.909%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -0.673%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.59%42.06%41.99%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.282.3547.62%44.23%43.86%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 57.83%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 42.17%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.72, with an expected value of -0.526%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -0.526%E -0.306%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -8.08%E -3.71%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 19:59
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.10%E -0.646%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-02 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -1.68%E -0.990%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -6.39%E -2.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-02 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-02 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 18:04
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.70%E -2.08%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 19:59
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.31%E -3.89%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.02%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 18:04
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.89%E -4.28%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -10.94%E -7.10%K -20.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -0.909%E -0.387%K -0.673%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:29
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -10.94%E -7.10%K -20.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -0.909%E -0.387%K -0.673%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-02 20:04
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%2.3%2026-03-02 20:05