The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Los Angeles Angels v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 20:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 55.65%1.80fair odd
EV -0.379%
Edge -0.212%
Kelly -0.480%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.77%55.48%55.70%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.731.7959.88%57.97%57.97%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 44.35%2.25fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.52%44.30%46.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.132.152.2048.31%46.85%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 55.65%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 44.35%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.79, with an expected value of -0.379%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -0.379%E -0.212%K -0.480%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 20:00
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -0.936%E -0.526%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -8.20%E -3.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 20:03
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.05%E -1.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 18:40
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.05%E -1.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 17:35
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 17:35
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 18:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.83%E -2.83%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 16:40
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.83%E -2.83%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.33%E -1.53%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 16:19
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.83%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 16:40
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.83%E -2.83%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.94%E -3.52%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.33%E -1.53%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.94%E -3.52%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 16:40
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.06%E -4.23%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 19:10
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.06%E -4.23%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-03-13 19:40
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-03-13 19:20
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.50%3.6%2026-03-13 20:05