The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Angels v Chicago Cubs

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 20:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 55.17%1.81fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +2.44%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.32%54.67%55.21%56.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.761.741.8558.48%56.82%57.47%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 44.83%2.23fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.836%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.99%45.33%44.79%48.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.122.1951.28%48.15%47.17%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 55.17%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 44.83%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +2.07%E +1.12%K +2.44%G +0.051%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -12.59%E -6.46%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 18:00
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +2.07%E +1.12%K +2.44%G +0.051%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -12.59%E -6.46%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 18:00
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -12.59%E -6.46%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 19:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 18:15
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.07%E -1.90%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 18:15
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -1.83%E -0.836%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.07%E -1.90%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.