The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Angels v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 20:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 51.24%1.95fair odd
EV -0.086%
Edge -0.044%
Kelly -0.090%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%51.14%51.05%52.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.851.871.9557.14%54.17%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 48.76%2.05fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.989%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.04%48.86%48.95%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.952.0153.48%51.57%51.28%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 51.24%; Athletics (Visit): 48.76%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.952. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.950, with an expected value of -0.086%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.086%E -0.044%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.82%E -4.71%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 17:24
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.67%E -1.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.40%E -2.78%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.18%E -2.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.18%E -2.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 17:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.18%E -2.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 17:40
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.82%E -4.71%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 17:35
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -5.21%E -2.82%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -1.99%E -0.989%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 18:15
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.77%E -4.32%K -9.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.33%E -5.90%K -13.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -3.94%E -2.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 16:35
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.33%E -5.90%K -13.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -3.94%E -2.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-03-05 20:05