The School of Odds
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Kansas City Royals v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 46.52%2.15fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.41%46.61%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.042.052.1050.00%48.90%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 53.48%1.87fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.59%53.39%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.781.781.8357.47%56.16%56.18%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 46.52%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 53.48%. For Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -2.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.94%E -3.99%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 20:10
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.27%E -2.38%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 00:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.80%E -2.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.80%E -2.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:35
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.71%E -1.79%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.80%E -2.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 00:54
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.34%E -3.01%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 21:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.64%E -2.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.73%E -2.07%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:35
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.64%E -2.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.73%E -2.07%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.64%E -2.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.73%E -2.07%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 21:50
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.64%E -2.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.73%E -2.07%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:50
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.64%E -2.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.27%E -2.38%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 21:55
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.64%E -2.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.27%E -2.38%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 21:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.10%E -2.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.80%E -2.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 21:54
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.13%E -1.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 22:00
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.34%E -3.01%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 21:55
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.34%E -3.01%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 00:35
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.94%E -3.99%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 00:05
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.94%E -3.99%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-03-18 00:20
ProphetX◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-03-18 00:55
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%3.9%2026-03-18 00:55