The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kansas City Royals v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 57.66%1.73fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.820%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.27%57.53%57.81%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.661.651.7162.11%60.17%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 42.34%2.36fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%42.47%42.19%43.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.252.252.3045.87%44.48%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 57.66%; Athletics (Visit): 42.34%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.71, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.40%E -0.820%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.85%E -3.11%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 15:30
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.55%E -1.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.16%E -2.30%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 19:59
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.55%E -1.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.70%E -3.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 16:04
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.46%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 16:34
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.46%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 16:35
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.73%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.73%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 16:24
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.85%E -3.11%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.