The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Colorado Rockies v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 20:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 44.27%2.26fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.67%44.28%44.19%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2048.78%46.58%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 55.73%1.79fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.72%55.81%56.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.711.7459.88%58.31%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 44.27%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 55.73%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -2.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.69%E -2.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 16:19
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.14%E -2.41%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 20:00
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.69%E -2.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 18:08
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 16:19
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.94%E -1.82%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.69%E -2.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 20:00
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.39%E -2.03%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.69%E -2.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 18:49
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.39%E -2.03%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.69%E -2.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 18:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 18:09
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 18:09
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 16:40
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.69%E -2.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 16:15
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 16:19
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.27%E -2.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 18:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.16%E -2.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.58%E -2.07%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 19:30
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.92%E -4.15%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 19:10
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.92%E -4.15%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 18:50
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-13 20:00
ProphetX◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-03-13 20:00
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%3.2%2026-03-13 20:05