The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Cleveland Guardians v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 57.63%1.74fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%57.75%57.44%59.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.651.651.6961.73%60.48%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 42.37%2.36fair odd
EV +0.423%
Edge +0.178%
Kelly +0.309%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.60%42.25%42.56%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.252.3746.51%44.14%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 57.63%; Athletics (Visit): 42.37%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.423%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV +0.423%E +0.178%K +0.309%G +0.001%3.9%2026-03-15 19:50
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 19:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -0.848%E -0.362%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -0.848%E -0.362%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 16:05
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.34%E -2.61%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.70%E -0.731%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 19:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.12%E -0.917%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.54%E -1.11%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:50
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.54%E -1.11%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 16:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.61%E -1.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.76%E -2.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 16:09
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 16:04
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.34%E -2.61%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.09%E -2.27%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:20
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.19%E -1.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.76%E -2.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:50
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.76%E -2.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:49
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 18:55
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-03-15 19:35
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-03-15 19:50
Novig◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%3.5%2026-03-15 19:50