The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chicago White Sox v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-03-02 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 52.48%1.91fair odd
EV +0.759%
Edge +0.395%
Kelly +0.825%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.74%52.19%52.49%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.811.9257.47%55.22%55.10%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 47.52%2.10fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.52%47.81%47.51%50.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.982.002.0652.63%50.51%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 52.48%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 47.52%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.759%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV +0.759%E +0.395%K +0.825%G +0.006%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -9.71%E -5.11%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 19:59
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.91%E -2.98%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 19:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.96%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 19:49
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.96%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 19:49
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 19:50
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-02 19:35
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 16:24
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 18:24
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 17:40
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 17:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%4.2%2026-03-02 20:00