The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chicago White Sox v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 51.42%1.94fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.940%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.39%51.43%51.07%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.841.9155.56%54.12%54.35%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 48.58%2.06fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.57%48.93%49.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.961.952.0052.36%51.14%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 51.42%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 48.58%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -1.80%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -1.80%E -0.940%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.75%E -2.96%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 16:50
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.75%E -2.96%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.75%E -2.96%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 15:00
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.37%E -2.35%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 19:45
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.29%E -2.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:25
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 16:53
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 16:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 18:03
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 19:10
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 16:20
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 16:50
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-03-11 19:45
Novig◎1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%4.3%2026-03-11 20:00