The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chicago White Sox v Kansas City Royals

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 50.81%1.97fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.735%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.48%50.75%50.79%51.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.881.881.9454.64%53.25%53.19%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 49.19%2.03fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.43%49.25%49.21%50.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.931.931.9753.48%51.85%51.81%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 50.81%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 49.19%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.94, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -1.42%E -0.735%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 18:49
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.93%E -1.00%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 18:34
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.07%E -2.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 15:39
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.58%E -2.36%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 15:40
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.58%E -2.36%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.07%E -2.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 15:44
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.07%E -2.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 18:19
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.07%E -2.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 15:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 15:39
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 15:36
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.02%E -4.29%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.10%E -1.57%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.10%E -1.57%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 19:45
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.01%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.02%E -4.29%K -9.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 17:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-03-08 19:30