The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Boston Red Sox v Minnesota Twins

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 60.05%1.67fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -4.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.59%60.10%60.07%61.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.591.591.6264.10%62.94%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 39.95%2.50fair odd
EV +0.280%
Edge +0.111%
Kelly +0.185%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.48%39.90%39.93%41.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.382.5144.44%41.76%42.02%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 60.05%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 39.95%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.280%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV +0.280%E +0.111%K +0.185%G +0.001%3.5%2026-03-23 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -0.120%E -0.048%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -0.120%E -0.048%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 16:50
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -1.72%E -0.698%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-23 16:50
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.12%E -0.864%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 16:38
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.72%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 16:40
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.52%E -2.85%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.92%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 16:39
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.52%E -2.85%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.32%E -1.37%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 16:44
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.91%E -2.06%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 13:29
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.91%E -2.06%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 13:29
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.71%E -2.42%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 13:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.72%E -1.68%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.11%E -2.60%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 13:15
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.32%E -2.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.11%E -2.60%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 13:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.32%E -2.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.91%E -2.97%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 13:18
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.52%E -2.85%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.11%E -3.53%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 13:15
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.33%E -4.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.11%E -3.53%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 16:49
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -4.52%E -2.85%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -10.11%E -4.49%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 16:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-03-23 17:00
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-03-23 16:55
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-03-23 17:00