The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Baltimore Orioles v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-02-23 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prediction 67.55%1.48fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.48%67.28%67.58%68.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.421.421.4571.43%70.52%70.67%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 32.45%3.08fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.878%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.96%32.72%32.42%34.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.892.903.0036.36%34.61%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 67.55%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 32.45%. For Baltimore Orioles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.45, with an expected value of -2.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.06%E -1.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 16:35
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.06%E -1.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.41%E -2.39%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-23 17:50
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.09%E -2.88%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.64%E -0.878%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.09%E -2.88%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-23 17:50
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -4.76%E -3.38%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.44%E -3.88%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:34
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.44%E -3.88%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.44%E -3.88%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-23 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.44%E -3.88%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-23 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.