默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves v Tampa Bay Rays

开赛时间: 2026-03-11 17:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves (主队)

预测 58.96%1.70公平赔率
EV +3.18%
优势 +1.81%
Kelly +4.23%
增长率 +0.134%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
54.55%58.41%59.13%59.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.591.641.631.7562.89%60.91%61.54%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tampa Bay Rays (客队)

预测 41.04%2.44公平赔率
EV -2.73%
优势 -1.15%
Kelly -1.99%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.37

博彩公司预测分布
40.60%41.59%40.87%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.292.332.3747.62%43.69%43.01%42.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atlanta Braves (主队):58.96%;Tampa Bay Rays (客队):41.04%。 对于“Atlanta Braves (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.70。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.75,对应+3.18%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +3.18%E +1.81%K +4.23%G +0.134%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -13.81%E -6.58%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +3.18%E +1.81%K +4.23%G +0.134%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -13.81%E -6.58%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.72%E -1.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.72%E -1.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 16:50
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.72%E -1.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -2.72%E -1.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -7.24%E -3.21%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 15:15
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.72%E -1.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 15:35
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.72%E -1.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.90%E -2.39%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 15:09
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 16:50
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 15:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 15:05
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 16:53
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 16:55
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.26%E -3.94%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 15:05
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.26%E -3.94%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 16:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%2.1%2026-03-11 16:30
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%3.0%2026-03-11 16:25
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%3.0%2026-03-11 17:00