默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves v Pittsburgh Pirates

开赛时间: 2026-03-20 22:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

16 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves (主队)

预测 57.87%1.73公平赔率
EV -1.63%
优势 -0.956%
Kelly -2.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.70

博彩公司预测分布
56.74%57.82%58.12%58.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.611.661.651.7062.11%60.38%60.61%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)

预测 42.13%2.37公平赔率
EV -2.25%
优势 -0.971%
Kelly -1.71%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.32

博彩公司预测分布
41.12%42.18%41.88%43.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.262.262.3245.45%44.19%44.15%43.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atlanta Braves (主队):57.87%;Pittsburgh Pirates (客队):42.13%。 对于“Atlanta Braves (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.73。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.70,期望值为-1.63%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.63%E -0.956%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.63%E -0.956%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 21:00
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.20%E -1.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.62%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 21:40
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.20%E -1.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -6.46%E -2.91%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 20:42
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.09%E -1.35%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 19:30
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.09%E -1.35%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 20:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.36%E -2.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.89%E -3.12%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:44
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.09%E -1.35%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.09%E -1.35%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 21:34
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.94%E -1.73%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 19:45
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.94%E -1.73%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 19:45
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.52%E -2.74%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:15
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.25%E -0.971%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 19:30
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.09%E -1.35%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 19:30
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.20%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 21:10
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.31%E -3.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 19:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-03-20 21:50
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%2.8%2026-03-20 22:00
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%3.5%2026-03-20 21:45