The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Atlanta Braves v Minnesota Twins

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 62.85%1.59fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.10%62.61%62.89%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.531.531.5666.67%65.36%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 37.15%2.69fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%37.39%37.11%38.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.542.552.6140.82%39.39%39.22%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 62.85%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 37.15%. For Atlanta Braves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -1.95%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.95%E -1.25%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.99%E -3.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 14:59
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.95%E -1.25%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.99%E -3.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.21%E -2.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.21%E -2.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.28%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 17:20
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.83%E -2.51%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.42%E -1.31%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.46%E -2.94%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.42%E -1.31%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 17:25
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.46%E -2.94%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 17:19
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.42%E -1.31%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 15:50
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.99%E -3.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.