The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Atlanta Braves v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 59.31%1.69fair odd
EV +0.242%
Edge +0.143%
Kelly +0.351%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%59.11%59.32%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.611.6964.10%61.57%62.11%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 40.69%2.46fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.982%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%40.89%40.68%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.322.352.4046.51%43.17%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 59.31%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 40.69%. For Atlanta Braves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.686. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.690, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.242%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +0.242%E +0.143%K +0.351%G +0.001%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 21:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +0.242%E +0.143%K +0.351%G +0.001%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 21:25
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +0.242%E +0.143%K +0.351%G +0.001%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 21:25
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +0.242%E +0.143%K +0.351%G +0.001%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -12.53%E -5.83%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 21:25
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 21:55
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.20%E -2.23%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 21:58
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 16:09
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.50%E -2.80%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.36%E -0.982%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 21:59
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.50%E -2.80%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 15:40
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 15:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 15:29
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 21:10
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 15:05
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.47%E -4.79%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-14 21:55
ProphetX◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-03-14 22:00
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%3.7%2026-03-14 22:00