The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Athletics v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 59.02%1.69fair odd
EV -0.261%
Edge -0.155%
Kelly -0.379%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.11%58.87%59.19%59.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.6964.10%61.58%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 40.98%2.44fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.40%41.13%40.81%42.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.302.302.3644.44%43.38%43.48%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 59.02%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 40.98%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.694. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.690, with an expected value of -0.261%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.261%E -0.155%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-16 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.44%E -0.863%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-16 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.44%E -0.863%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-16 19:35
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -1.44%E -0.863%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -6.97%E -3.07%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 20:00
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -1.44%E -0.863%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -7.38%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 19:53
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 19:55
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 19:30
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 16:19
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 16:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-16 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.28%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 16:19
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 19:05
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 16:19
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 18:44
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.93%E -5.09%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 16:25
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.93%E -5.09%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-16 20:00
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-03-16 19:55
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%4.3%2026-03-16 19:50