The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Athletics v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 56.39%1.77fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%56.37%56.41%57.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.691.7560.61%58.90%59.00%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 43.61%2.29fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.641%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%43.63%43.59%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.182.202.2647.62%45.89%45.45%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 56.39%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 43.61%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.75, with an expected value of -1.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.31%E -0.749%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.43%E -4.01%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 16:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 19:25
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 19:25
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.43%E -4.01%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.81%E -2.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 17:30
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.69%E -2.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.19%E -1.44%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 19:24
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.69%E -2.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.19%E -1.44%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 19:59
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.69%E -2.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 19:35
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 20:01
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.69%E -2.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.43%E -4.01%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -1.45%E -0.641%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.76%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 13:30
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.76%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 13:30
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%2.5%2026-03-10 20:00
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%2.7%2026-03-10 20:01