The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 20:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 55.69%1.80fair odd
EV +0.792%
Edge +0.438%
Kelly +0.978%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.74%55.54%55.27%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.741.8159.88%58.06%57.47%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 44.31%2.26fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.731%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.46%44.73%47.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.142.152.2249.50%46.77%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 55.69%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 44.31%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.792%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.792%E +0.438%K +0.978%G +0.008%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -10.49%E -5.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.792%E +0.438%K +0.978%G +0.008%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -10.49%E -5.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 17:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 17:29
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 17:34
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 17:29
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 16:04
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.17%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 20:04
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:30
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.33%E -3.14%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.62%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 19:50
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.89%E -3.49%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.62%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:18
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.89%E -3.49%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 19:39
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.89%E -3.49%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 19:34
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.89%E -3.49%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 20:04
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.45%E -3.84%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.51%E -1.14%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 19:34
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.00%E -4.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.51%E -1.14%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:34
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.00%E -4.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 19:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-03-21 20:04
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-03-21 18:54
Novig◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%2.5%2026-03-21 20:04