Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 20:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 51.28%1.95fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.67%51.05%54.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.841.871.9157.47%54.32%53.48%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 48.72%2.05fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +2.94%
Growth +0.097%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.08%48.33%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.971.952.1253.48%50.81%51.28%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 51.28%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 48.72%. For Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.77%E -6.19%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +3.29%E +1.55%K +2.94%G +0.097%4.6%2026-02-25 19:25
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.77%E -6.19%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +3.29%E +1.55%K +2.94%G +0.097%4.6%2026-02-25 19:25
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 16:00
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 15:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 15:44
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 15:44
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.48%E -2.83%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 19:55
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 17:34
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-25 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.