Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Toronto Blue Jays

Início: 2026-07-27 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 2–3 Toronto Blue Jays

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 53.11%1.88odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.651%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.07%53.15%53.25%55.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.791.791.8658.14%55.91%55.87%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Previsão 46.89%2.13odd justa
EV +0.808%
Vantagem +0.376%
Kelly +0.703%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.73%46.85%46.75%48.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.032.042.1552.63%49.32%49.02%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 53.11%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 46.89%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.13. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.15, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.808%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.58%E -4.36%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.808%E +0.376%K +0.703%G +0.006%4.0%2026-07-27 22:29
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -3.34%E -1.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.130%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-27 22:24
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.130%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-27 22:35
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.01%E -0.959%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 20:15
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.74%E -0.942%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 22:15
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 22:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.93%E -2.75%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 22:43
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.21%E -0.651%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 22:30
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.93%E -2.75%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -1.21%E -0.651%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -1.21%E -0.651%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 22:38
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 13:44
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 22:30
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.52%E -3.71%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:35
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.35%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 22:35
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.35%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:45
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.35%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.35%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:45
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.35%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.35%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:45
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.93%E -2.75%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.82%E -2.37%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.93%E -2.75%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 22:44
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.93%E -2.75%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -6.52%E -3.71%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -5.76%E -2.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 22:45
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:45
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 14:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:45
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 22:45
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 22:35
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 22:31
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.16%E -3.62%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.16%E -3.62%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.57%E -4.39%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.57%E -4.39%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:45
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.57%E -4.39%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -6.52%E -3.71%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.57%E -4.39%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 22:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.57%E -4.39%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.44%E -5.47%K -11.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -8.65%E -5.03%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -10.91%E -5.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 22:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-07-27 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-07-27 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-07-27 22:45
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-27 22:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-27 20:05
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-27 22:45
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-07-27 22:45
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-07-27 22:45
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-07-27 22:45
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%2.7%2026-07-27 22:40