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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Washington Nationals v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-07-27 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 2–3 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 53.11%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.651%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%53.15%53.25%55.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.791.791.8658.14%55.91%55.87%53.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 46.89%2.13momio equitativo
EV +0.808%
Ventaja +0.376%
Kelly +0.703%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%46.85%46.75%48.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.032.042.1552.63%49.32%49.02%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Washington Nationals (Local): 53.11%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 46.89%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.13. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.15, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.808%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.58%E -4.36%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.808%E +0.376%K +0.703%G +0.006%4.0%2026-07-27 22:29
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -3.34%E -1.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.130%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-27 22:24
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.130%E -0.061%K -0.115%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-27 22:35
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.01%E -0.959%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 20:15
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.74%E -0.942%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 22:15
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 22:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.93%E -2.75%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 22:43
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.21%E -0.651%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 22:30
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.93%E -2.75%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -1.21%E -0.651%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -1.21%E -0.651%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 22:38
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 13:44
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 22:30
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.52%E -3.71%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:35
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.35%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 22:35
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.35%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:45
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.35%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.35%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:45
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.35%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.35%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:45
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.93%E -2.75%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.82%E -2.37%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.93%E -2.75%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 22:44
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.93%E -2.75%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -6.52%E -3.71%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -5.76%E -2.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 22:45
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:45
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 14:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:45
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 22:45
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 22:35
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 22:31
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.16%E -3.62%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.16%E -3.62%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.57%E -4.39%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.57%E -4.39%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:45
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.57%E -4.39%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -6.52%E -3.71%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.57%E -4.39%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 22:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.57%E -4.39%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.44%E -5.47%K -11.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -8.65%E -5.03%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -10.91%E -5.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 22:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-07-27 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-07-27 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-07-27 22:45
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-27 22:40
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-27 20:05
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-27 22:45
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-07-27 22:45
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-07-27 22:45
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-07-27 22:45
BetOpenly◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%2.7%2026-07-27 22:40