The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Washington Nationals v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 22:46 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 50.97%1.96fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.08%51.05%52.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.881.9455.56%53.40%53.33%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 49.03%2.04fair odd
EV +0.507%
Edge +0.248%
Kelly +0.483%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.70%48.92%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.942.0553.48%51.42%51.55%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 50.97%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 49.03%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.507%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.507%E +0.248%K +0.483%G +0.002%2.3%2026-04-07 20:49
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -0.963%E -0.477%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-07 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.963%E -0.477%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 12:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.963%E -0.477%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 12:29
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.963%E -0.477%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 12:30
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.94%E -0.972%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-07 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.94%E -0.972%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 12:44
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.21%E -3.38%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 12:28
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.11%E -0.574%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.92%E -1.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-07 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.92%E -1.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 12:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.41%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.25%E -4.58%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.41%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 16:28
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 21:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.21%E -3.38%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 20:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 22:39
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 22:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 12:30
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 19:00
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 00:19
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 05:09
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 03:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.19%E -2.79%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 19:00
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:19
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 12:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 22:45
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.21%E -3.38%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:39
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:40
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:39
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:40
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:09
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:39
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:45
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:19
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:19
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 19:05
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 19:40
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 22:45
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 03:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 03:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 03:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 22:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.19%E -2.79%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 22:44
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 22:33
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-07 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-04-07 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-04-07 22:45
ProphetX◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-04-07 22:45
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-07 22:40
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-07 13:45
BetOpenly◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-04-07 22:44
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-04-07 22:45
Novig◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%2.3%2026-04-07 22:45
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-04-07 22:45