La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v Seattle Mariners

Inicio: 2026-06-14 17:36 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 10–1 Seattle Mariners

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 45.49%2.20momio equitativo
EV +0.070%
Ventaja +0.032%
Kelly +0.058%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%45.41%45.45%46.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.032.112.102.2049.26%47.40%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 54.51%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.25%54.59%54.55%56.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.751.741.8059.88%57.28%57.47%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.070%E +0.032%K +0.058%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.96%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 14:10
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.840%E -0.385%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 17:30
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.30%E -0.597%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-14 17:30
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.810%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-14 16:49
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.75%E -0.810%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.75%E -0.810%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:30
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.75%E -0.810%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:30
BetAnything2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.75%E -0.810%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:30
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-14 17:30
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-14 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 13:10
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.78%E -3.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-14 17:20
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.06%E -2.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 16:50
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:30
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 16:40
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 17:30
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 17:30
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 17:30
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 17:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 17:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 16:20
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 16:20
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 16:20
MyBookie.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.06%E -2.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 17:19
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 13:40
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:20
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:20
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 16:47
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 15:20
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 13:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:50
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 14:00
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:30
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:30
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:30
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:30
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 17:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 16:40
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.93%E -2.36%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.06%E -2.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 16:50
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 17:30
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 16:50
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.78%E -3.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 17:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 17:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 17:20
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 16:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 17:20
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 16:50
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 17:26
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.72%EV -7.66%E -3.77%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -6.78%E -3.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-14 17:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-06-14 17:30
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-06-14 17:30
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%0.3%2026-06-14 17:00
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-06-14 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-06-14 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-06-14 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-06-14 17:30
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-14 17:00
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-14 15:00
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-06-14 17:30