مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v Seattle Mariners

البداية: 2026-06-14 17:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 10–1 Seattle Mariners

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.49%2.20السعر العادل
EV +0.070%
الأفضلية +0.032%
Kelly +0.058%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.15%45.41%45.45%46.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.032.112.102.2049.26%47.40%47.62%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Seattle Mariners (الضيف)

التنبؤ 54.51%1.83السعر العادل
EV -1.88%
الأفضلية -1.04%
Kelly -2.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.25%54.59%54.55%56.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.751.741.8059.88%57.28%57.47%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.070%E +0.032%K +0.058%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.96%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 14:10
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.840%E -0.385%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 17:30
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.30%E -0.597%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-14 17:30
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.810%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-14 16:49
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.75%E -0.810%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.42%E -1.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.75%E -0.810%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:30
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.75%E -0.810%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:30
BetAnything2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.75%E -0.810%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:30
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-14 17:30
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-14 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 13:10
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.78%E -3.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -2.97%E -1.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-14 17:20
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.06%E -2.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 16:50
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:30
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 16:40
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 17:30
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 17:30
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 17:30
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 17:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 17:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 16:20
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 16:20
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.57%E -1.68%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 16:20
MyBookie.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.06%E -2.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 17:19
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 13:40
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:20
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:20
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 16:47
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 15:20
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 13:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:50
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 14:00
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:30
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:30
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:30
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:30
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 17:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 16:40
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.93%E -2.36%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.06%E -2.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 16:50
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 17:30
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 16:50
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.78%E -3.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 17:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.88%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 17:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 17:20
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 16:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 17:20
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 16:50
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 17:26
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.72%EV -7.66%E -3.77%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -6.78%E -3.97%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-14 17:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-06-14 17:30
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-06-14 17:30
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%0.3%2026-06-14 17:00
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-06-14 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-06-14 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-06-14 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-06-14 17:30
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-14 17:00
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-14 15:00
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-06-14 17:30