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Washington Nationals v San Diego Padres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Washington Nationals (Local)
Predicción 46.04%2.17momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.467%
Kelly -0.873%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%46.09%45.82%48.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.072.082.1551.28%48.26%48.19%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
San Diego Padres (Visitante)
Predicción 53.96%1.85momio equitativo
EV +0.897%
Ventaja +0.480%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.91%54.18%55.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.8758.82%56.36%56.50%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Washington Nationals (Local): 46.04%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 53.96%. Para San Diego Padres (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.85. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.87, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.897%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV +0.897%E +0.480%K +1.03%G +0.009% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -0.182%E -0.099%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.182%E -0.099%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.182%E -0.099%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -3.77%E -1.80%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -0.722%E -0.392%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.26%E -0.689%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-30 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.26%E -0.689%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.26%E -0.689%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 07:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 17:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 19:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.77%E -1.80%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.53%E -3.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 19:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.53%E -3.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 05:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.15%E -2.50%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 19:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 08:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 01:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.00%E -0.467%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 19:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -1.93%E -0.904%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 19:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.74%E -4.52%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 13:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-30 19:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-05-30 20:00 |