مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v San Diego Padres

البداية: 2026-05-30 20:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 9–4 San Diego Padres

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.04%2.17السعر العادل
EV -1.00%
الأفضلية -0.467%
Kelly -0.873%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.73%46.09%45.82%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.072.082.1551.28%48.26%48.19%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

San Diego Padres (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.96%1.85السعر العادل
EV +0.897%
الأفضلية +0.480%
Kelly +1.03%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%53.91%54.18%55.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.771.771.8758.82%56.36%56.50%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV +0.897%E +0.480%K +1.03%G +0.009%2.3%2026-05-30 20:00
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -0.182%E -0.099%K -0.214%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 20:00
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.182%E -0.099%K -0.214%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-30 20:00
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.182%E -0.099%K -0.214%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-30 20:00
BetAnything2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -3.77%E -1.80%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -0.722%E -0.392%K -0.859%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-30 20:00
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.26%E -0.689%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-30 19:40
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.26%E -0.689%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-30 19:50
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.26%E -0.689%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-30 18:00
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 17:20
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 20:00
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 07:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 17:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 17:50
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 20:00
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 19:59
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-30 19:50
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 20:00
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.77%E -1.80%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 17:10
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 17:49
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.53%E -3.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 19:29
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.53%E -3.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 19:30
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 05:20
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 17:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 00:00
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 17:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 17:50
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 19:50
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 19:50
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.15%E -2.50%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:00
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:00
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 19:50
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 19:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 19:50
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 19:50
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 19:50
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 19:49
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 19:50
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 19:50
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 17:49
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 08:10
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 01:19
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 19:50
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 19:50
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 19:50
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 19:50
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 18:00
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 18:00
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 17:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 17:40
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.00%E -0.467%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 19:09
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -1.93%E -0.904%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 17:09
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 17:10
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 19:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 17:09
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 17:10
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 17:10
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.74%E -4.52%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 20:00
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 13:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-30 20:00
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-30 19:10
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-30 20:00
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-30 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-30 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-30 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-30 20:00
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-30 13:00
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-05-30 20:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-05-30 20:00