La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-06-23 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 9–14 Philadelphia Phillies

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 37.63%2.66momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.681%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.65%37.64%37.62%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.542.552.6142.02%39.40%39.22%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 62.37%1.60momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -3.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%62.36%62.38%63.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.531.531.5767.11%65.38%65.36%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.78%E -0.681%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-23 22:30
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.78%E -0.681%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-23 22:30
MyBookie.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96%EV -1.78%E -0.681%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-23 22:39
Bovada2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -1.78%E -0.681%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 22:39
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-23 22:30
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.53%E -0.977%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:30
LowVig.ag2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.53%E -0.977%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:30
BetUS2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -2.53%E -0.977%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-23 22:40
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.91%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Caesars2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.91%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 22:30
BetAnything2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-23 22:30
DraftKings2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 22:40
SportsBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:30
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 22:40
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 22:40
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 22:40
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 22:30
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 22:30
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 22:30
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 22:30
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:40
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 22:30
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.41%E -1.74%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 22:39
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.79%E -1.89%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 22:40
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 22:30
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 22:40
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-23 22:30
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-23 22:40
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Dabble (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 22:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 22:30
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.07%E -4.75%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-23 22:30
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.67%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 22:30
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.67%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 22:30
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Betclic (FR)2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -8.17%E -3.35%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.07%E -4.75%K -14.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 22:39
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.43%E -4.38%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 12:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Novig2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-06-23 22:40
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-06-23 22:30
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.6%2026-06-23 22:30
BetOpenly2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%3.1%2026-06-23 22:40