مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-06-23 22:46 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 9–14 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.63%2.66السعر العادل
EV -1.78%
الأفضلية -0.681%
Kelly -1.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.65%37.64%37.62%39.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.542.552.6142.02%39.40%39.22%38.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 62.37%1.60السعر العادل
EV -2.08%
الأفضلية -1.33%
Kelly -3.66%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.25%62.36%62.38%63.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.491.531.531.5767.11%65.38%65.36%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.78%E -0.681%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-23 22:30
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.78%E -0.681%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-23 22:30
MyBookie.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96%EV -1.78%E -0.681%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-23 22:39
Bovada2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -1.78%E -0.681%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 22:39
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-23 22:30
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.15%E -0.828%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.53%E -0.977%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:30
LowVig.ag2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.53%E -0.977%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:30
BetUS2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -2.53%E -0.977%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-23 22:40
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.91%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Caesars2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.91%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 22:30
BetAnything2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-23 22:30
DraftKings2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 22:40
SportsBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:30
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 22:40
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 22:40
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 22:40
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 22:30
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 22:30
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 22:30
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 22:30
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:40
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 22:30
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.41%E -1.74%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 22:39
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.79%E -1.89%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 22:40
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 22:30
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 22:40
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-23 22:30
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-23 22:40
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:30
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Dabble (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 22:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 22:30
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.92%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.07%E -4.75%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-23 22:30
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.67%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 22:30
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.67%E -2.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 22:30
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Betclic (FR)2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -8.17%E -3.35%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.07%E -4.75%K -14.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 22:39
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.43%E -4.38%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 12:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Novig2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-06-23 22:40
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-06-23 22:30
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.6%2026-06-23 22:30
BetOpenly2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%3.1%2026-06-23 22:40