Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-06-24 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 4–5 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 46.83%2.14odd justa
EV -0.244%
Vantagem -0.115%
Kelly -0.216%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.60%46.84%46.75%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.042.1351.28%49.13%49.02%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 53.17%1.88odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.597%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.16%53.25%54.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.801.801.8657.47%55.58%55.56%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 46.83%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 53.17%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.14. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.13, com valor esperado de -0.244%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.244%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-24 22:40
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.65%E -0.785%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-24 22:40
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.64%E -0.888%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:40
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.64%E -0.888%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:40
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.64%E -0.888%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:40
Everygame🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.64%E -0.888%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 22:40
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.11%E -0.597%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.64%E -0.888%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-24 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.64%E -0.888%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-24 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-24 22:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 18:39
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 18:20
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 18:09
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 17:08
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 22:00
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 18:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 18:10
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 22:30
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 18:10
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 19:50
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 22:40
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:00
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:30
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:30
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:30
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:30
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:30
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 21:40
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 21:59
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:20
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:19
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 22:30
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 22:30
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:39
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:40
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 22:39
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 22:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 22:00
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 19:10
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 18:40
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.49%E -4.31%K -10.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 22:20
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 22:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-06-24 22:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-06-24 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-06-24 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-06-24 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-06-24 22:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-24 18:10
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-24 22:30
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-24 21:20
ProphetX2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-06-24 22:40
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-06-24 22:40