La scuola delle quote

Washington Nationals v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-06-24 22:46 UTC

Finale: Washington Nationals 4–5 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Nationals (Casa)

Previsione 46.83%2.14quota equa
EV -0.244%
Vantaggio -0.115%
Kelly -0.216%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.60%46.84%46.75%48.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.042.042.1351.28%49.13%49.02%46.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.17%1.88quota equa
EV -1.11%
Vantaggio -0.597%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%53.16%53.25%54.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.801.801.8657.47%55.58%55.56%53.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.244%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-24 22:40
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.65%E -0.785%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-24 22:40
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.64%E -0.888%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:40
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.64%E -0.888%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:40
BetAnything2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.64%E -0.888%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:40
Everygame2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.64%E -0.888%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:39
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 22:40
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.11%E -0.597%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:30
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.64%E -0.888%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-24 22:40
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.64%E -0.888%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-24 22:39
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-24 22:30
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 18:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 18:10
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 20:50
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 18:20
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 18:09
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 17:08
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 22:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 18:09
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 18:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 22:30
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:39
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:39
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 18:10
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 18:10
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 18:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 19:50
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 22:40
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:00
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:30
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:30
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:30
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:30
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:30
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:30
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 21:40
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 21:59
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:20
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:19
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 22:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 22:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 22:29
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 22:30
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:39
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:40
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 22:39
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 22:40
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 22:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 19:10
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 18:19
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 22:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 18:40
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.49%E -4.31%K -10.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 22:20
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 22:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 22:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-06-24 22:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-06-24 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-06-24 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-06-24 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-06-24 22:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-24 18:10
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-24 22:30
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-24 21:20
ProphetX2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-06-24 22:40
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-06-24 22:40